Moselle
  • 🏠Welcome to Moselle
  • Fundamentals
    • 🛠️Setup
      • Setting Up Integrations
      • Setting Up Channels
      • Inviting Team Members
      • Exporting Your Data
      • Syncing Your Items
    • 🏎️Fast Tutorial
      • Triage Your Catalog
      • Create a Forecast
      • Build a Production Plan
      • Send Out Orders
  • Core Concepts
    • ✨Forecasting
      • Create a New Forecast
      • Customize a Forecast
      • Auto Forecasting
    • Replenishment
      • Create a Production Plan
      • View Your At-Risk items
      • Generate Orders
    • 📖Catalog
      • Access Your Catalog
      • Import Your Items
      • Edit Item Details
    • 📦Inventory
      • Create an Inventory Warehouse
    • 🚛Orders
      • Create an Order
      • Review your Order
      • Upload an Order
    • 👥Suppliers
      • Add a Supplier
    • 📊Reporting
      • Weekly Rollup
      • Monthly Rollup
      • Forecast Performance
      • Inventory Reports
  • Stay Updated
    • 🔔Changelog
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On this page
  • AI-Generated Unit Forecast
  • Statistical Models
  • Probabilistic Models
  • Deep Learning Models

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  1. Core Concepts
  2. Forecasting

Auto Forecasting

Learn more about Moselle's AI forecasting and the various models you can utilize to automatically forecast and plan your inventory for the upcoming 12 months.

AI-Generated Unit Forecast

Moselle offers three different machine learning forecasts to help you automatically predict the next 3 to 12 months, depending on your plan. These models are excellent starting points for your business and intelligently learn from your historical sales data. As you continue to use Moselle, the forecasts will improve over time.

Statistical Models

Ensemble 1 - ARIMA weighted model

This is a statistical model that uses lagged moving averages to predict future values. The model employs deep learning to automatically tune and blend various forecasts, providing the most accurate prediction for your business.

Ensemble 2 - Exponential Smoothing weighted model

This is a statistical model that uses lagged moving averages and seasonal trends to predict future values. The model employs deep learning to automatically adjust and combine various forecasts, offering the most precise prediction for your business.

Probabilistic Models

Tuned Probabilistic Model - Prophet-based model

A model for nonlinear trends forecasts yearly, weekly, and daily seasonality, as well as holiday effects. Examples of holidays that can be incorporated into this trend include Amazon Prime Day, Black Friday, and Boxing Day. The model uses deep learning to automatically tune and blend various forecasts, providing the most accurate forecast for your business.

The model can also be influenced by custom data, such as a marketing calendar or spending, which you can upload.

Deep Learning Models

Temporal Fusion Transformer (TFT)

This model is specialized in deep learning models for time series forecasting. It is designed to handle complex patterns by incorporating multiple types of data (historical trends, seasonality, events, and holidays). It can also provide insights into which variables or time periods drive forecasts.

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Last updated 3 months ago

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